Ogburn Volunteer Fire Department

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z Upper-level high pressure will persist across the middle of the country, while a cutoff low slowly drifts just off the Eastern Seaboard through Day 3/Thursday. This pattern will continue near-normal temperatures amid dry conditions over much of the Southeast US. Vegetation in this area will become increasingly vulnerable to burning, especially across the southern Appalachian Mountains and the lower Mississippi River Valley, where ERCs are forecast to reach the 90-95th percentiles. However, generally weak winds will limit the overall fire threat. Forecast models suggest the upper-level ridge will shift toward the East Coast early next week, briefly introducing at least slightly warmer-than-normal conditions alongside ongoing dryness. A strong upper-level low will push onshore CA on Day 3/Thursday and progress toward the G